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Abstract The fate of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS)1is the largest cause of uncertainty in long-term sea-level projections. In the last interglacial (LIG) around 125,000 years ago, data suggest that sea level was several metres higher than today2–4, and required a significant contribution from Antarctic ice loss, with WAIS usually implicated. Antarctica and the Southern Ocean were warmer than today5–8, by amounts comparable to those expected by 2100 under moderate to high future warming scenarios. However, direct evidence about the size of WAIS in the LIG is sparse. Here we use sea salt data from an ice core from Skytrain Ice Rise, adjacent to WAIS, to show that, during most of the LIG, the Ronne Ice Shelf was still in place, and close to its current extent. Water isotope data are consistent with a retreat of WAIS9, but seem inconsistent with more dramatic model realizations10in which both WAIS and the large Antarctic ice shelves were lost. This new constraint calls for a reappraisal of other elements of the LIG sea-level budget. It also weakens the observational basis that motivated model simulations projecting the highest end of projections for future rates of sea-level rise to 2300 and beyond.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available January 29, 2026
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The last glacial period was punctuated by cold intervals in the North Atlantic region that culminated in extensive iceberg discharge events. These cold intervals, known as Heinrich Stadials, are associated with abrupt climate shifts worldwide. Here, we present CO2measurements from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet Divide ice core across Heinrich Stadials 2 to 5 at decadal-scale resolution. Our results reveal multi-decadal-scale jumps in atmospheric CO2concentrations within each Heinrich Stadial. The largest magnitude of change (14.0 ± 0.8 ppm within 55 ± 10 y) occurred during Heinrich Stadial 4. Abrupt rises in atmospheric CO2are concurrent with jumps in atmospheric CH4and abrupt changes in the water isotopologs in multiple Antarctic ice cores, the latter of which suggest rapid warming of both Antarctica and Southern Ocean vapor source regions. The synchroneity of these rapid shifts points to wind-driven upwelling of relatively warm, carbon-rich waters in the Southern Ocean, likely linked to a poleward intensification of the Southern Hemisphere westerly winds. Using an isotope-enabled atmospheric circulation model, we show that observed changes in Antarctic water isotopologs can be explained by abrupt and widespread Southern Ocean warming. Our work presents evidence for a multi-decadal- to century-scale response of the Southern Ocean to changes in atmospheric circulation, demonstrating the potential for dynamic changes in Southern Ocean biogeochemistry and circulation on human timescales. Furthermore, it suggests that anthropogenic CO2uptake in the Southern Ocean may weaken with poleward strengthening westerlies today and into the future.more » « less
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Abstract. Air trapped in polar ice provides unique records of the pastatmospheric composition ranging from key greenhouse gases such as methane(CH4) to short-lived trace gases like ethane (C2H6) andpropane (C3H8). Recently, the comparison of CH4 recordsobtained using different extraction methods revealed disagreements in theCH4 concentration for the last glacial in Greenland ice. Elevatedmethane levels were detected in dust-rich ice core sections measureddiscretely, pointing to a process sensitive to the melt extraction technique. To shed light on the underlying mechanism, we performed targeted experiments and analyzed samples for methane and the short-chain alkanes ethane and propane covering the time interval from 12 to 42 kyr. Here, we report our findings of these elevated alkane concentrations, which scale linearly with the amount of mineral dust within the ice samples. The alkane production happens during the melt extraction step of the classic wet-extraction technique and reaches 14 to 91 ppb of CH4 excess in dusty ice samples. We document for the first time a co-production of excess methane, ethane, and propane, with the observed concentrations for ethane and propane exceeding their past atmospheric background at least by a factor of 10. Independent of the produced amounts, excess alkanes were produced in a fixed molar ratio of approximately 14:2:1, indicating a shared origin. The measured carbon isotopic signature of excess methane is (-47.0±2.9) ‰ and its deuterium isotopic signature is (-326±57) ‰. With the co-production ratios of excess alkanesand the isotopic composition of excess methane we established a fingerprintthat allows us to constrain potential formation processes. This fingerprintis not in line with a microbial origin. Moreover, an adsorption–desorptionprocess of thermogenic gas on dust particles transported to Greenlanddoes not appear very likely. Instead, the alkane pattern appears to beindicative of abiotic decomposition of organic matter as found in soils andplant leaves.more » « less
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Abstract. During the last glacial period Northern Hemisphere climate was characterizedby extreme and abrupt climate changes, so-called Dansgaard–Oeschger (DO)events. Most clearly observed as temperature changes in Greenland ice-corerecords, their climatic imprint was geographically widespread. However, thetemporal relation between DO events in Greenland and other regions isuncertain due to the chronological uncertainties of each archive, limitingour ability to test hypotheses of synchronous change. In contrast, theassumption of direct synchrony of climate changes forms the basis of manytimescales. Here, we use cosmogenic radionuclides (10Be,36Cl, 14C) to link Greenland ice-core records toU∕Th-dated speleothems, quantify offsets between the two timescales, andimprove their absolute dating back to 45000 years ago. This approach allowsus to test the assumption that DO events occurred synchronously betweenGreenland ice-core and tropical speleothem records with unprecedentedprecision. We find that the onset of DO events occurs within synchronizationuncertainties in all investigated records. Importantly, we demonstrate thatlocal discrepancies remain in the temporal development of rapid climatechange for specific events and speleothems. These may either be related tothe location of proxy records relative to the shifting atmospheric fronts orto underestimated U∕Th dating uncertainties. Our study thus highlightsthe potential for misleading interpretations of the Earth system whenapplying the common practice of climate wiggle matching.more » « less
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null (Ed.)Abstract. The last glacial period is characterized by a number of millennial climateevents that have been identified in both Greenland and Antarctic ice coresand that are abrupt in Greenland climate records. The mechanisms governingthis climate variability remain a puzzle that requires a precisesynchronization of ice cores from the two hemispheres to be resolved.Previously, Greenland and Antarctic ice cores have been synchronizedprimarily via their common records of gas concentrations or isotopes fromthe trapped air and via cosmogenic isotopes measured on the ice. In thiswork, we apply ice core volcanic proxies and annual layer counting toidentify large volcanic eruptions that have left a signature in bothGreenland and Antarctica. Generally, no tephra is associated with thoseeruptions in the ice cores, so the source of the eruptions cannot beidentified. Instead, we identify and match sequences of volcanic eruptionswith bipolar distribution of sulfate, i.e. unique patterns of volcanicevents separated by the same number of years at the two poles. Using thisapproach, we pinpoint 82 large bipolar volcanic eruptions throughout thesecond half of the last glacial period (12–60 ka). Thisimproved ice core synchronization is applied to determine the bipolarphasing of abrupt climate change events at decadal-scale precision. Inresponse to Greenland abrupt climatic transitions, we find a response in theAntarctic water isotope signals (δ18O and deuterium excess)that is both more immediate and more abrupt than that found with previousgas-based interpolar synchronizations, providing additional support for ourvolcanic framework. On average, the Antarctic bipolar seesaw climateresponse lags the midpoint of Greenland abrupt δ18O transitionsby 122±24 years. The time difference between Antarctic signals indeuterium excess and δ18O, which likewise informs the timeneeded to propagate the signal as described by the theory of the bipolarseesaw but is less sensitive to synchronization errors, suggests anAntarctic δ18O lag behind Greenland of 152±37 years.These estimates are shorter than the 200 years suggested by earliergas-based synchronizations. As before, we find variations in the timing andduration between the response at different sites and for different eventssuggesting an interaction of oceanic and atmospheric teleconnection patternsas well as internal climate variability.more » « less
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